Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - December 31

Winnipeg Jets v Toronto Maple Leafs

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The Eastern Conference's fourth-ranked squad, the Toronto Maple Leafs (22-13-2), host the 13th-ranked team from the Eastern Conference, the New York Islanders (14-16-7), on Tuesday, December 31 at 1:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our pick for who will secure the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

Over the past 10 games for the Islanders (5-5-0), their offense has scored 32 goals while their defense has given up 34 goals. They have recorded 20 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored two goals (10.0%).

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-148)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of a 22-13-2 overall record.
  • In the nine games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-1-2 record (good for 14 points).
  • In the five games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Toronto finished 1-6-0 in the seven games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 23 times, and are 21-1-1 in those games (to register 43 points).
  • In the 13 games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has an 8-4-1 record (17 points).
  • In the 15 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 10-5-0 (20 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Maple Leafs finished 12-7-2 in those matchups (26 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders have a record of 14-16-7 this season and are 3-7-10 in overtime games.
  • In the 14 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
  • This season the Islanders registered only one goal in six games and they've earned two points (0-4-2) in those contests.
  • New York failed to win all five games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Islanders have scored three or more goals 21 times, earning 32 points from those matchups (14-3-4).
  • This season, New York has capitalized on a single power-play goal in nine games and registered 15 points with a record of 7-1-1.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, New York has posted a record of 7-9-2 (16 points).
  • The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Islanders went 7-5-5 in those contests (19 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
14th 3.11 Goals Scored 2.68 25th
11th 2.84 Goals Allowed 3.19 23rd
14th 28.7 Shots 28.5 15th
22nd 29.1 Shots Allowed 28.7 17th
18th 20.37% Power Play % 11.46% 32nd
11th 81.36% Penalty Kill % 63.29% 32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

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