Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - December 27

Montreal Canadiens v Detroit Red Wings

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The Detroit Red Wings (13-17-4) will try to halt a three-game losing streak when they play the Toronto Maple Leafs (21-12-2) at home on Friday, December 27 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Before this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Friday's hockey action.

In the past 10 contests, the Red Wings have recorded a 3-6-1 record after putting up 24 total goals (three power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 11.5%). Their opponents have scored a combined 32 goals in those games.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Red Wings 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-136)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Red Wings (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (21-12-2 overall) have a 3-2-5 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Toronto has 14 points (6-1-2) in the nine games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Toronto finished 1-5-0 in the six games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals in 22 games (20-1-1, 41 points).
  • In the 12 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 7-4-1 record (15 points).
  • In the 14 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 10-4-0 (20 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 20 games, going 11-7-2 to record 24 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a 3-4-7 record in overtime matchups this season and a 13-17-4 overall record.
  • In the 14 games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
  • This season the Red Wings recorded only one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • Detroit has eight points (3-2-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Red Wings have scored more than two goals in 16 games, earning 20 points from those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 10 games has a record of 3-5-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Detroit is 5-5-0 (10 points).
  • The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents 24 times this season, and earned 20 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
13th 3.09 Goals Scored 2.56 29th
11th 2.8 Goals Allowed 3.26 25th
14th 28.6 Shots 25.1 31st
21st 29.1 Shots Allowed 30 28th
18th 20.39% Power Play % 23.47% 10th
8th 82.46% Penalty Kill % 68.82% 31st

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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