Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - November 5

Seattle Kraken v Boston Bruins

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-2) and Boston Bruins (6-6-1) face off at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs lost to the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime in their most recent game, while the Bruins are coming off a 2-0 victory against the Seattle Kraken.

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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey game.

During the past 10 games for the Bruins, their offense has put up 22 goals while their defense has allowed 28 (they have a 4-5-1 record in those games). In 40 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored six goals (15.0% conversion rate).

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Bruins 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-123)
  • Total Pick: Over 5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 6-5-2 record overall, with a -2-2 record in contests that have needed overtime.
  • In the three games this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
  • Toronto has lost both games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in seven games (6-0-1, 13 points).
  • In the two games when Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up three points after finishing 1-0-1.
  • In the seven games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 3-4-0 (six points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents six times, and went 3-1-2 (eight points).

Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins have a record of 6-6-1 this season and are 2-1-3 in overtime matchups.
  • Boston has earned five points (2-1-1) in its four games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Bruins recorded just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
  • When Boston has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned four points (2-2-0 record).
  • The Bruins have earned eight points in their six games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, Boston has scored a single power-play goal in six games and picked up six points with a record of 3-3-0.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Boston has posted a record of 4-2-0 (eight points).
  • The Bruins' opponents have had more shots in six games. The Bruins went 1-4-1 in those contests (three points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Bruins AVG Bruins Rank
16th 3 Goals Scored 2.62 26th
8th 3 Goals Allowed 3.23 22nd
6th 32 Shots 27.2 25th
17th 28.8 Shots Allowed 28.6 15th
31st 10% Power Play % 14.81% 25th
9th 84.31% Penalty Kill % 78.57% 17th

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

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